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Consumer Cyclical

MTN Stock Analysis

Vail Resorts, Inc. · current price $142.32 (-1.50% today)

Risk is rising; momentum is fading or fundamentals are weakening. Multiple risk indicators are firing.
★★
Below Avg
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
42
Losing steam
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
53
Solid fundamentals
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
35
Getting pricey
is the price fair?
Sentiment
38
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
79
Low risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
Relative strengthRelative strength: 6565News sentimentNews sentiment: 8282Trend strengthTrend strength: 4545VolumeVolume: 5050Analyst consensusAnalyst consensus: 5050Breakout proximityBreakout proximity: 4949FundamentalsFundamentals: 5858
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 43.3%43.3%OperatingOperating: 42.1%42.1%NetNet: 5.5%5.5%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 6.1%6.1%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-04: -1.6% vs estimate-2%2026-042026-01: -4.6% vs estimate-5%2026-012025-10: -57.0% vs estimate-57%2025-102025-07: -7.7% vs estimate-8%2025-07
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Hype Check

Reading MTN’s price and volume history…

✓

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading MTN’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN)

Latest earnings

EPS
$-5.08 vs $-4.72 est · -7.7% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$1.21B · +344.2% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-7.1%
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Valuation

P/E
30.6×
Forward P/E
22.4×
PEG
3.33
Price / Sales
1.8×
Price / Book
9.2×
EV / EBITDA
11.2×
Analyst target
$147.23
Target range
$119.00 – $195.00
Implied upside
+3.5%
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Financial health

Gross margin
43.3%
Operating margin
42.1%
Net margin
5.5%
FCF margin
6.1%
Return on equity
16.9%
Debt / equity
3.56
Revenue growth YoY
-7.0%
EPS growth YoY
-15.8%
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Technicals

$118.5152-week range$163.34
RSI (14)
42
50-day MA
$146.53
200-day MA
$138.25
ATR (14)
4.26
Beta
0.71
1-month return
-7.1%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-07-31$-5.08$-4.72-7.7%Miss
2025-10-31$-5.20$-5.17-0.6%Miss
2026-01-31$5.87$6.15-4.6%Miss
2026-04-30$8.81$8.96-1.6%Miss
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.28%
Dividend yield
6.26%
Beta
0.71
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Latest news on MTN

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Frequently asked

What is MTN's Quant Score?

Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 47/100, rated ★★ Below Avg. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. MTN scores 47/100 (★★ Below Avg) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is MTN's score updated?

MTN's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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TickerMover is a research tool, not financial advice. Quant Score is a composite signal — always do your own research before investing.
Last updated automatically every 5 minutes during US market hours.