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Consumer Cyclical

MCD Stock Analysis

McDonald's Corporation · current price $264.91 (+1.86% today)

Risk is rising; momentum is fading or fundamentals are weakening. Multiple risk indicators are firing.
★★
Below Avg
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
47
Losing steam
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
90
High quality
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
55
Fairly priced
is the price fair?
Sentiment
40
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
78
Low risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
GrowthGrowth: 4242Earnings accelerationEarnings acceleration: 100100Near 52w highNear 52w high: 7575FundamentalsFundamentals: 7272Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 7070News sentimentNews sentiment: 8282Relative strengthRelative strength: 4545
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 57.4%57.4%OperatingOperating: 46.5%46.5%NetNet: 31.7%31.7%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 28.0%28.0%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: +1.8% vs estimate+2%2026-062026-03: +3.1% vs estimate+3%2026-032025-12: +2.2% vs estimate+2%2025-122025-09: -3.4% vs estimate-3%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading MCD’s price and volume history…

✓

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading MCD’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS McDonald's Corporation (MCD)

Latest earnings

EPS
$3.22 vs $3.33 est · -3.4% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$7.10B · +0.3% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-1.3%
Beat streak
3 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
21.5×
Forward P/E
19.0×
PEG
2.43
Price / Sales
6.8×
Price / Book
-183.3×
EV / EBITDA
16.2×
Analyst target
$315.39
Target range
$250.00 – $407.00
Implied upside
+19.1%
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Financial health

Gross margin
57.4%
Operating margin
46.5%
Net margin
31.7%
FCF margin
28.0%
Revenue growth YoY
+3.7%
EPS growth YoY
+5.7%
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Technicals

$259.8552-week range$341.75
RSI (14)
44
50-day MA
$270.63
200-day MA
$297.10
ATR (14)
4.96
Beta
0.42
1-month return
-1.3%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$3.22$3.33-3.4%Miss
2025-12-31$3.12$3.05+2.2%Beat
2026-03-31$2.83$2.74+3.1%Beat
2026-06-30$3.38$3.32+1.8%Beat
Beat 3 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.02%
Dividend yield
2.81%
Beta
0.42
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Latest news on MCD

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Frequently asked

What is MCD's Quant Score?

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 49/100, rated ★★ Below Avg. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is McDonald's Corporation (MCD) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. MCD scores 49/100 (★★ Below Avg) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is MCD's score updated?

MCD's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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TickerMover is a research tool, not financial advice. Quant Score is a composite signal — always do your own research before investing.
Last updated automatically every 5 minutes during US market hours.