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Consumer Cyclical

CMG Stock Analysis

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. · current price $38.03 (+2.15% today)

Mixed signals — neither side has the edge here. The thesis lacks a clear edge from current data.
★★★
Average
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
58
Drifting higher
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
68
Solid fundamentals
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
55
Fairly priced
is the price fair?
Sentiment
42
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
73
Low risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
RSI zoneRSI zone: 100100Trend strengthTrend strength: 8585Relative strengthRelative strength: 6565GrowthGrowth: 3838Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 7878Earnings accelerationEarnings acceleration: 88881-month momentum1-month momentum: 3030
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 39.4%39.4%OperatingOperating: 16.1%16.1%NetNet: 11.4%11.4%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 12.6%12.6%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: +4.0% vs estimate+4%2026-062026-03: +140.0% vs estimate+140%2026-032025-12: +4.9% vs estimate+5%2025-122025-09: +87.0% vs estimate+87%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading CMG’s price and volume history…

✓

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading CMG’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)

Latest earnings

EPS
$0.29 vs $0.29 est · +0.9% vs estimate BEAT
Revenue
$3.35B · +11.5% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-1.3%
Beat streak
4 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
35.2×
Forward P/E
27.8×
PEG
2.00
Price / Sales
3.9×
Price / Book
21.9×
EV / EBITDA
23.2×
Analyst target
$43.67
Target range
$35.00 – $52.00
Implied upside
+14.8%
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Financial health

Gross margin
39.4%
Operating margin
16.1%
Net margin
11.4%
FCF margin
12.6%
Return on equity
49.6%
Debt / equity
2.46
Revenue growth YoY
+9.3%
EPS growth YoY
-1.3%
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Technicals

$28.0452-week range$42.82
RSI (14)
64
50-day MA
$34.26
200-day MA
$34.68
ATR (14)
1.16
Beta
0.94
1-month return
-1.3%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$0.29$0.29+0.9%Beat
2025-12-31$0.25$0.24+4.9%Beat
2026-03-31$0.24$0.24+1.4%Beat
2026-06-30$0.33$0.32+4.0%Beat
Beat 4 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.03%
Beta
0.94
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Latest news on CMG

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Frequently asked

What is CMG's Quant Score?

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 60/100, rated ★★★ Average. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. CMG scores 60/100 (★★★ Average) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is CMG's score updated?

CMG's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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TickerMover is a research tool, not financial advice. Quant Score is a composite signal — always do your own research before investing.
Last updated automatically every 5 minutes during US market hours.