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Consumer Cyclical

TOL Stock Analysis

Toll Brothers, Inc. · current price $146.22 (+0.76% today)

Mixed signals — neither side has the edge here. The thesis lacks a clear edge from current data.
★★★
Average
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
48
Losing steam
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
66
Solid fundamentals
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
80
Looks cheap
is the price fair?
Sentiment
45
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
67
Moderate risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
RSI zoneRSI zone: 7070Relative strengthRelative strength: 6565Analyst consensusAnalyst consensus: 7070Earnings accelerationEarnings acceleration: 100100FundamentalsFundamentals: 7777News sentimentNews sentiment: 9595Near 52w highNear 52w high: 7575
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 24.8%24.8%OperatingOperating: 14.5%14.5%NetNet: 11.1%11.1%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 11.3%11.3%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-07: +92.0% vs estimate+92%2026-072026-04: +5.6% vs estimate+6%2026-042026-01: +3.4% vs estimate+3%2026-012025-10: -6.4% vs estimate-6%2025-10
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Hype Check

Reading TOL’s price and volume history…

✓

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading TOL’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL)

Latest earnings

EPS
$4.58 vs $4.89 est · -6.4% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$2.53B · -14.1% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-2.5%
Beat streak
3 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
11.8×
Forward P/E
10.4×
PEG
0.98
Price / Sales
1.3×
Price / Book
1.6×
EV / EBITDA
9.1×
Analyst target
$171.87
Target range
$122.00 – $195.00
Implied upside
+17.5%
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Financial health

Gross margin
24.8%
Operating margin
14.5%
Net margin
11.1%
FCF margin
11.3%
Return on equity
14.4%
Debt / equity
0.32
Revenue growth YoY
-9.7%
EPS growth YoY
-20.4%
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Technicals

$123.1552-week range$168.36
RSI (14)
47
50-day MA
$151.46
200-day MA
$144.23
ATR (14)
4.46
Beta
1.34
1-month return
-2.5%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-10-31$4.58$4.89-6.4%Miss
2026-01-31$2.19$2.12+3.4%Beat
2026-04-30$2.72$2.58+5.6%Beat
2026-07-31$2.97$2.94+0.9%Beat
Beat 3 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.05%
Dividend yield
0.72%
Beta
1.34
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Latest news on TOL

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Frequently asked

What is TOL's Quant Score?

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 59/100, rated ★★★ Average. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. TOL scores 59/100 (★★★ Average) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is TOL's score updated?

TOL's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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TickerMover is a research tool, not financial advice. Quant Score is a composite signal — always do your own research before investing.
Last updated automatically every 5 minutes during US market hours.