Tickerover
Consumer Cyclical

MUSA Stock Analysis

Murphy USA Inc. · current price $503.41 (-1.13% today)

Mixed signals — neither side has the edge here. The thesis lacks a clear edge from current data.
★★★
Average
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
22
In a downtrend
price trend
Growth
26
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
23
Shaky books
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
75
Looks cheap
is the price fair?
Sentiment
41
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
70
Low risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
GrowthGrowth: 8888Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 8686Earnings accelerationEarnings acceleration: 100100Near 52w highNear 52w high: 7575Relative strengthRelative strength: 4545Trend strengthTrend strength: 4545VolumeVolume: 5050
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 8.1%8.1%OperatingOperating: 4.9%4.9%NetNet: 3.2%3.2%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 2.8%2.8%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: +12.2% vs estimate+12%2026-062026-03: +32.3% vs estimate+32%2026-032025-12: +14.2% vs estimate+14%2025-122025-09: -2.8% vs estimate-3%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading MUSA’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading MUSA’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA)

Latest earnings

EPS
$6.76 vs $6.95 est · -2.8% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$6.81B · +33.2% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-18.2%
Beat streak
3 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
15.4×
Forward P/E
16.4×
PEG
1.39
Price / Sales
0.5×
Price / Book
11.8×
EV / EBITDA
9.6×
Analyst target
$622.70
Target range
$550.00 – $710.00
Implied upside
+23.7%
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Financial health

Gross margin
8.1%
Operating margin
4.9%
Net margin
3.2%
FCF margin
2.8%
Return on equity
86.4%
Debt / equity
3.53
Revenue growth YoY
+40.8%
EPS growth YoY
+53.1%
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Technicals

$349.8352-week range$636.05
RSI (14)
31
50-day MA
$572.85
200-day MA
$488.78
ATR (14)
17.54
Beta
0.28
1-month return
-18.2%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$6.76$6.95-2.8%Miss
2025-12-31$7.88$6.90+14.2%Beat
2026-03-31$7.28$5.50+32.3%Beat
2026-06-30$11.24$10.02+12.2%Beat
Beat 3 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.04%
Dividend yield
0.52%
Beta
0.28
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Latest news on MUSA

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Frequently asked

What is MUSA's Quant Score?

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 56/100, rated ★★★ Average. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. MUSA scores 56/100 (★★★ Average) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is MUSA's score updated?

MUSA's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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