Tickerover
Consumer Cyclical

MAT Stock Analysis

Mattel, Inc. · current price $15.14 (+1.54% today)

Setup looks favourable on the available data. Momentum, fundamentals and macro indicators are aligned.
★★★★
Quality
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
55
Drifting higher
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
72
High quality
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
75
Looks cheap
is the price fair?
Sentiment
44
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
62
Moderate risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
RSI zoneRSI zone: 100100GrowthGrowth: 5555Trend strengthTrend strength: 6565FundamentalsFundamentals: 8383Earnings accelerationEarnings acceleration: 100100News sentimentNews sentiment: 9595Near 52w highNear 52w high: 7575
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 47.6%47.6%OperatingOperating: 1.3%1.3%NetNet: 7.8%7.8%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 7.9%7.9%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: -77.3% vs estimate-77%2026-062026-03: +4.1% vs estimate+4%2026-032025-12: -28.8% vs estimate-29%2025-122025-09: -15.9% vs estimate-16%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading MAT’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading MAT’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Mattel, Inc. (MAT)

Latest earnings

EPS
$0.89 vs $1.06 est · -15.9% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$1.13B · -35.2% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-0.5%
Beat streak
1 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
11.3×
Forward P/E
9.5×
PEG
1.22
Price / Sales
0.8×
Price / Book
2.2×
EV / EBITDA
10.0×
Analyst target
$18.23
Target range
$12.00 – $28.00
Implied upside
+20.4%
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Financial health

Gross margin
47.6%
Operating margin
1.3%
Net margin
7.8%
FCF margin
7.9%
Return on equity
20.5%
Debt / equity
1.37
Revenue growth YoY
+10.5%
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Technicals

$12.7352-week range$22.48
RSI (14)
57
50-day MA
$14.35
200-day MA
$16.65
ATR (14)
0.44
Beta
0.73
1-month return
-0.5%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$0.89$1.06-15.9%Miss
2025-12-31$0.39$0.55-28.8%Miss
2026-03-31$-0.20$-0.21+4.1%Beat
2026-06-30$0.01$0.04-77.3%Miss
Beat 1 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.14%
Beta
0.73
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Latest news on MAT

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Frequently asked

What is MAT's Quant Score?

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 62/100, rated ★★★★ Quality. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Mattel, Inc. (MAT) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. MAT scores 62/100 (★★★★ Quality) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is MAT's score updated?

MAT's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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