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Consumer Cyclical

CHDN Stock Analysis

Churchill Downs Incorporated · current price $89.89 (+3.91% today)

Top-tier setup — 3/4 EPS beats. Momentum, fundamentals and macro indicators are aligned.
★★★★★
Top Tier
📊

The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
69
Drifting higher
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
49
Some weak spots
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
75
Looks cheap
is the price fair?
Sentiment
44
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
72
Low risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
1-month momentum1-month momentum: 7575RSI zoneRSI zone: 100100GrowthGrowth: 5252Near 52w highNear 52w high: 100100Trend strengthTrend strength: 6565Earnings accelerationEarnings acceleration: 100100Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 7979
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 34.2%34.2%OperatingOperating: 36.5%36.5%NetNet: 13.8%13.8%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 12.8%12.8%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: +48.0% vs estimate+48%2026-062026-03: +20.4% vs estimate+20%2026-032025-12: -5.5% vs estimate-5%2025-122025-09: +10.8% vs estimate+11%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading CHDN’s price and volume history…

✓

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

🛡

Dilution Check

Reading CHDN’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)

Latest earnings

EPS
$1.09 vs $0.98 est · +10.8% vs estimate BEAT
Revenue
$980.0M · +43.5% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
+8.7%
Beat streak
3 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
15.3×
Forward P/E
12.2×
PEG
1.69
Price / Sales
2.1×
Price / Book
4.7×
EV / EBITDA
11.1×
Analyst target
$131.64
Target range
$100.00 – $157.00
Implied upside
+46.4%
🩺

Financial health

Gross margin
34.2%
Operating margin
36.5%
Net margin
13.8%
FCF margin
12.8%
Return on equity
33.8%
Debt / equity
3.49
Revenue growth YoY
+4.9%
EPS growth YoY
+14.4%
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Technicals

$79.4052-week range$118.35
RSI (14)
53
50-day MA
$87.19
200-day MA
$94.38
ATR (14)
2.80
Beta
0.66
1-month return
+8.7%
🗓️

Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$1.09$0.98+10.8%Beat
2025-12-31$0.97$1.03-5.5%Miss
2026-03-31$1.21$1.00+20.4%Beat
2026-06-30$3.45$3.43+0.5%Beat
Beat 3 of the last 4 quarters.
🏛️

Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.06%
Dividend yield
0.51%
Beta
0.66
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Latest news on CHDN

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Frequently asked

What is CHDN's Quant Score?

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 72/100, rated ★★★★★ Top Tier. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. CHDN scores 72/100 (★★★★★ Top Tier) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is CHDN's score updated?

CHDN's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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TickerMover is a research tool, not financial advice. Quant Score is a composite signal — always do your own research before investing.
Last updated automatically every 5 minutes during US market hours.