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Industrials

ALK Stock Analysis

Alaska Air Group, Inc. · current price $42.30 (+0.24% today)

Mixed signals — neither side has the edge here. The thesis lacks a clear edge from current data.
★★★
Average
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
32
In a downtrend
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
44
Some weak spots
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
75
Looks cheap
is the price fair?
Sentiment
37
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
46
Above-avg risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
GrowthGrowth: 5555Near 52w highNear 52w high: 100100Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 8282Earnings accelerationEarnings acceleration: 100100News sentimentNews sentiment: 9595FundamentalsFundamentals: 7070VolumeVolume: 5050
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 17.7%17.7%OperatingOperating: -2.9%-2.9%NetNet: -1.2%-1.2%Free cash flowFree cash flow: -2.4%-2.4%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: +7.2% vs estimate+7%2026-062026-03: -5.8% vs estimate-6%2026-032025-12: +297.2% vs estimate+297%2025-122025-09: -4.7% vs estimate-5%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading ALK’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading ALK’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)

Latest earnings

EPS
$1.05 vs $1.10 est · -4.7% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$4.07B · +7.9% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-10.4%
Beat streak
2 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
7.5×
Forward P/E
7.5×
PEG
1.20
Price / Sales
0.3×
Price / Book
1.3×
EV / EBITDA
13.8×
Analyst target
$61.28
Target range
$37.00 – $92.00
Implied upside
+44.9%
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Financial health

Gross margin
17.7%
Operating margin
-2.9%
Net margin
-1.2%
FCF margin
-2.4%
Return on equity
-4.6%
Debt / equity
2.08
Revenue growth YoY
+9.7%
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Technicals

$33.0352-week range$65.88
RSI (14)
41
50-day MA
$47.39
200-day MA
$45.89
ATR (14)
1.67
Beta
1.30
1-month return
-10.4%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$1.05$1.10-4.7%Miss
2025-12-31$0.43$0.11+297.2%Beat
2026-03-31$-1.68$-1.59-5.8%Miss
2026-06-30$-0.92$-0.99+7.2%Beat
Beat 2 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.11%
Beta
1.30
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Latest news on ALK

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Frequently asked

What is ALK's Quant Score?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 53/100, rated ★★★ Average. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. ALK scores 53/100 (★★★ Average) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is ALK's score updated?

ALK's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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