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Energy

TPL Stock Analysis

Texas Pacific Land Corporation · current price $364.12 (-1.52% today)

Risk is rising; momentum is fading or fundamentals are weakening. Multiple risk indicators are firing.
★★
Below Avg
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
36
Losing steam
price trend
Growth
26
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
92
High quality
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
35
Getting pricey
is the price fair?
Sentiment
58
Positive mood
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
61
Moderate risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
FundamentalsFundamentals: 5858GrowthGrowth: 8888Analyst consensusAnalyst consensus: 5050Near 52w highNear 52w high: 7575Relative strengthRelative strength: 4545Low short interestLow short interest: 100100Insider biasInsider bias: 100100
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 93.3%93.3%OperatingOperating: 78.2%78.2%NetNet: 60.3%60.3%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 8.5%8.5%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: +2.1% vs estimate+2%2026-062026-03: +2.5% vs estimate+2%2026-032025-12: -50.2% vs estimate-50%2025-122025-09: -8.7% vs estimate-9%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading TPL’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading TPL’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL)

Latest earnings

EPS
$1.76 vs $1.92 est · -8.7% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$246.1M · +21.2% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-7.6%
Beat streak
2 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
46.5×
Forward P/E
5.0×
PEG
7.33
Price / Sales
28.0×
Price / Book
16.2×
EV / EBITDA
33.6×
Analyst target
$442.00
Target range
$245.00 – $639.00
Implied upside
+21.4%
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Financial health

Gross margin
93.3%
Operating margin
78.2%
Net margin
60.3%
FCF margin
8.5%
Return on equity
36.6%
Debt / equity
0.01
Revenue growth YoY
+31.2%
EPS growth YoY
+32.7%
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Technicals

$269.2352-week range$547.20
RSI (14)
44
50-day MA
$388.20
200-day MA
$390.66
ATR (14)
16.37
Beta
0.63
1-month return
-7.6%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$1.76$1.92-8.7%Miss
2025-12-31$1.79$3.60-50.2%Miss
2026-03-31$2.07$2.02+2.5%Beat
2026-06-30$2.23$2.18+2.1%Beat
Beat 2 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.09%
Dividend yield
0.66%
Beta
0.63
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Latest news on TPL

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Frequently asked

What is TPL's Quant Score?

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 48/100, rated ★★ Below Avg. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. TPL scores 48/100 (★★ Below Avg) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is TPL's score updated?

TPL's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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