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AI Power / Grid Infrastructure

NRG Stock Analysis

NRG Energy, Inc. · current price $111.17 (-2.84% today)

Risk is rising; momentum is fading or fundamentals are weakening. Multiple risk indicators are firing.
★★
Below Avg
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
19
In a downtrend
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
31
Shaky books
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
90
Looks cheap
is the price fair?
Sentiment
44
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
49
Above-avg risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
FundamentalsFundamentals: 6565Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 6767Near 52w highNear 52w high: 100100Size fitSize fit: 7070Analyst consensusAnalyst consensus: 5050Low short interestLow short interest: 100100News sentimentNews sentiment: 6565
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 18.8%18.8%OperatingOperating: 12.8%12.8%NetNet: 2.6%2.6%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 0.9%0.9%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: -14.4% vs estimate-14%2026-062026-03: -14.0% vs estimate-14%2026-032025-12: +16.4% vs estimate+16%2025-122025-09: +30.7% vs estimate+31%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading NRG’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading NRG’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)

Latest earnings

EPS
$2.78 vs $2.13 est · +30.7% vs estimate BEAT
Revenue
$7.48B · -2.0% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-16.8%
Beat streak
2 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
28.9×
Forward P/E
9.9×
PEG
0.55
Price / Sales
0.7×
Price / Book
5.6×
EV / EBITDA
14.5×
Analyst target
$188.75
Target range
$104.00 – $270.00
Implied upside
+69.8%
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Financial health

Gross margin
18.8%
Operating margin
12.8%
Net margin
2.6%
FCF margin
0.9%
Return on equity
23.8%
Debt / equity
4.83
Revenue growth YoY
+11.0%
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Technicals

$110.6552-week range$189.96
RSI (14)
39
50-day MA
$130.27
200-day MA
$148.00
ATR (14)
4.68
Beta
1.20
1-month return
-16.8%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$2.78$2.13+30.7%Beat
2025-12-31$1.04$0.89+16.4%Beat
2026-03-31$1.49$1.73-14.0%Miss
2026-06-30$1.49$1.74-14.4%Miss
Beat 2 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.04%
Dividend yield
1.66%
Beta
1.20
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Latest news on NRG

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Frequently asked

What is NRG's Quant Score?

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 49/100, rated ★★ Below Avg. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. NRG scores 49/100 (★★ Below Avg) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is NRG's score updated?

NRG's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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