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Basic Materials

CF Stock Analysis

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. · current price $125.76 (+0.02% today)

Top-tier setup — 3/4 EPS beats, 27% net margin. Momentum, fundamentals and macro indicators are aligned.
★★★★★
Top Tier
📊

The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
58
Drifting higher
price trend
Growth
26
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
86
High quality
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
75
Looks cheap
is the price fair?
Sentiment
37
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
74
Low risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
FundamentalsFundamentals: 9494RSI zoneRSI zone: 100100Trend strengthTrend strength: 100100GrowthGrowth: 8888Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 84841-month momentum1-month momentum: 5050Relative strengthRelative strength: 6565
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 42.5%42.5%OperatingOperating: 49.3%49.3%NetNet: 27.1%27.1%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 24.6%24.6%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: -15.1% vs estimate-15%2026-062026-03: +45.7% vs estimate+46%2026-032025-12: +10.4% vs estimate+10%2025-122025-09: +5.6% vs estimate+6%2025-09
👁

Hype Check

Reading CF’s price and volume history…

✓

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading CF’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Latest earnings

EPS
$2.19 vs $2.07 est · +5.6% vs estimate BEAT
Revenue
$2.22B · +33.9% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
+0.5%
Beat streak
3 of last 4 quarters
💰

Valuation

P/E
9.3×
Forward P/E
12.0×
PEG
0.42
Price / Sales
2.5×
Price / Book
3.3×
EV / EBITDA
6.0×
Analyst target
$125.77
Target range
$98.00 – $195.72
Implied upside
+0.0%
🩺

Financial health

Gross margin
42.5%
Operating margin
49.3%
Net margin
27.1%
FCF margin
24.6%
Return on equity
29.9%
Debt / equity
0.41
Revenue growth YoY
+17.6%
EPS growth YoY
+99.6%
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Technicals

$75.4252-week range$141.96
RSI (14)
57
50-day MA
$118.01
200-day MA
$106.79
ATR (14)
4.85
Beta
0.40
1-month return
+0.5%
🗓️

Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$2.19$2.07+5.6%Beat
2025-12-31$2.59$2.35+10.4%Beat
2026-03-31$3.98$2.73+45.7%Beat
2026-06-30$4.73$5.57-15.1%Miss
Beat 3 of the last 4 quarters.
🏛️

Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.07%
Dividend yield
1.91%
Beta
0.40
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Latest news on CF

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Frequently asked

What is CF's Quant Score?

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 73/100, rated ★★★★★ Top Tier. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. CF scores 73/100 (★★★★★ Top Tier) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is CF's score updated?

CF's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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TickerMover is a research tool, not financial advice. Quant Score is a composite signal — always do your own research before investing.
Last updated automatically every 5 minutes during US market hours.