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Real Estate

ARR Stock Analysis

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. · current price $16.31 (-0.58% today)

Mixed signals — neither side has the edge here. The thesis lacks a clear edge from current data.
★★★
Average
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
51
Drifting higher
price trend
Growth
24
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
78
High quality
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
55
Fairly priced
is the price fair?
Sentiment
40
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
65
Moderate risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
FundamentalsFundamentals: 7676Size fitSize fit: 100100Relative strengthRelative strength: 6565Analyst consensusAnalyst consensus: 5050Low short interestLow short interest: 100100News sentimentNews sentiment: 9595RSI zoneRSI zone: 7070
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 100.0%100.0%OperatingOperating: 87.0%87.0%NetNet: 87.8%87.8%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 65.1%65.1%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: -7.0% vs estimate-7%2026-062026-03: +2.9% vs estimate+3%2026-032025-12: -7.6% vs estimate-8%2025-122025-09: -8.7% vs estimate-9%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading ARR’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading ARR’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR)

Latest earnings

EPS
$0.72 vs $0.79 est · -8.7% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$119.4M · -25.7% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
+0.7%
Beat streak
1 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
3.7×
Forward P/E
5.6×
PEG
2.97
Price / Sales
4.7×
Price / Book
0.9×
Analyst target
$18.38
Target range
$18.00 – $19.00
Implied upside
+12.7%
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Financial health

Gross margin
100.0%
Operating margin
87.0%
Net margin
87.8%
FCF margin
65.1%
Return on equity
20.3%
Debt / equity
7.57
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Technicals

$13.9852-week range$19.31
RSI (14)
49
50-day MA
$16.68
200-day MA
$17.20
ATR (14)
0.19
Beta
1.34
1-month return
+0.7%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$0.72$0.79-8.7%Miss
2025-12-31$0.71$0.77-7.6%Miss
2026-03-31$0.76$0.74+2.9%Beat
2026-06-30$0.72$0.72-0.1%Miss
Beat 1 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.00%
Dividend yield
17.65%
Beta
1.34
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Latest news on ARR

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Frequently asked

What is ARR's Quant Score?

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 60/100, rated ★★★ Average. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. ARR scores 60/100 (★★★ Average) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is ARR's score updated?

ARR's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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