Tickerover
AI Power / Grid Infrastructure

VST Stock Analysis

Vistra Corp. · current price $137.10 (-2.01% today)

Risk is rising; momentum is fading or fundamentals are weakening. Multiple risk indicators are firing.
★★
Below Avg
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
34
In a downtrend
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
52
Solid fundamentals
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
90
Looks cheap
is the price fair?
Sentiment
45
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
47
Above-avg risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
FundamentalsFundamentals: 8383Near 52w highNear 52w high: 100100Size fitSize fit: 7070Analyst consensusAnalyst consensus: 5050Low short interestLow short interest: 100100News sentimentNews sentiment: 9595Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 3030
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 38.3%38.3%OperatingOperating: 13.8%13.8%NetNet: 11.6%11.6%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 11.7%11.7%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: -53.4% vs estimate-53%2026-062026-03: +53.4% vs estimate+53%2026-032025-12: -76.5% vs estimate-77%2025-122025-09: -10.5% vs estimate-11%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading VST’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading VST’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Vistra Corp. (VST)

Latest earnings

EPS
$1.75 vs $1.96 est · -10.5% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$4.02B · -19.2% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-7.8%
Beat streak
1 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
23.6×
Forward P/E
13.2×
PEG
0.40
Price / Sales
2.4×
Price / Book
15.3×
EV / EBITDA
10.3×
Analyst target
$217.42
Target range
$106.00 – $305.00
Implied upside
+58.6%
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Financial health

Gross margin
38.3%
Operating margin
13.8%
Net margin
11.6%
FCF margin
11.7%
Return on equity
43.0%
Debt / equity
3.73
Revenue growth YoY
-5.5%
EPS growth YoY
-6.2%
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Technicals

$132.6652-week range$219.82
RSI (14)
40
50-day MA
$151.87
200-day MA
$158.59
ATR (14)
4.45
Beta
1.43
1-month return
-7.8%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$1.75$1.96-10.5%Miss
2025-12-31$0.54$2.30-76.5%Miss
2026-03-31$2.87$1.87+53.4%Beat
2026-06-30$0.76$1.63-53.4%Miss
Beat 1 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.03%
Dividend yield
0.66%
Beta
1.43
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Latest news on VST

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Frequently asked

What is VST's Quant Score?

Vistra Corp. (VST) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 49/100, rated ★★ Below Avg. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Vistra Corp. (VST) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. VST scores 49/100 (★★ Below Avg) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is VST's score updated?

VST's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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