Tickerover
Digital Media / Streaming / AdTech

SPOT Stock Analysis

Spotify Technology S.A. · current price $547.55 (+3.87% today)

Solid setup — 3/4 EPS beats. Momentum, fundamentals and macro indicators are aligned.
★★★★
Quality
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
64
Drifting higher
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
75
High quality
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
65
Fairly priced
is the price fair?
Sentiment
34
Out of favour
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
47
Above-avg risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
RSI zoneRSI zone: 1001001-month momentum1-month momentum: 6262GrowthGrowth: 5555Trend strengthTrend strength: 8585Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 8888News sentimentNews sentiment: 9595Relative strengthRelative strength: 4545
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 32.8%32.8%OperatingOperating: 13.7%13.7%NetNet: 18.4%18.4%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 18.0%18.0%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: -6.7% vs estimate-7%2026-062026-03: +18.0% vs estimate+18%2026-032025-12: +55.8% vs estimate+56%2025-122025-09: +53.6% vs estimate+54%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading SPOT’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading SPOT’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT)

Latest earnings

EPS
$3.28 vs $2.13 est · +53.6% vs estimate BEAT
Revenue
$4.78B · +11.8% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
+4.8%
Beat streak
3 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
28.4×
Forward P/E
30.3×
PEG
1.89
Price / Sales
6.2×
Price / Book
11.5×
EV / EBITDA
39.5×
Analyst target
$612.06
Target range
$422.58 – $724.42
Implied upside
+11.8%
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Financial health

Gross margin
32.8%
Operating margin
13.7%
Net margin
18.4%
FCF margin
18.0%
Return on equity
44.5%
Debt / equity
0.06
Revenue growth YoY
+13.9%
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Technicals

$405.0052-week range$745.00
RSI (14)
61
50-day MA
$493.18
200-day MA
$509.55
ATR (14)
20.84
Beta
1.58
1-month return
+4.8%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$3.28$2.13+53.6%Beat
2025-12-31$4.43$2.84+55.8%Beat
2026-03-31$3.45$2.92+18.0%Beat
2026-06-30$2.61$2.80-6.7%Miss
Beat 3 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.03%
Beta
1.58
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Latest news on SPOT

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Frequently asked

What is SPOT's Quant Score?

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 64/100, rated ★★★★ Quality. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. SPOT scores 64/100 (★★★★ Quality) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is SPOT's score updated?

SPOT's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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