Tickerover
Financial Services

PGR Stock Analysis

The Progressive Corporation · current price $218.66 (+0.44% today)

Solid setup — 3/4 EPS beats. Momentum, fundamentals and macro indicators are aligned.
★★★★
Quality
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
62
Drifting higher
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
64
Solid fundamentals
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
20
Expensive
is the price fair?
Sentiment
25
Out of favour
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
83
Low risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
RSI zoneRSI zone: 100100FundamentalsFundamentals: 5757Trend strengthTrend strength: 100100Relative strengthRelative strength: 6565Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 60601-month momentum1-month momentum: 5050News sentimentNews sentiment: 9595
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 18.5%18.5%OperatingOperating: 18.2%18.2%NetNet: 12.8%12.8%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 17.5%17.5%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: +33.0% vs estimate+33%2026-062026-03: +1.6% vs estimate+2%2026-032025-12: +5.3% vs estimate+5%2025-122025-09: -19.7% vs estimate-20%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading PGR’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading PGR’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS The Progressive Corporation (PGR)

Latest earnings

EPS
$4.05 vs $5.05 est · -19.7% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$23.60B · +4.9% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
+2.5%
Beat streak
3 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
10.9×
Forward P/E
13.4×
PEG
62.13
Price / Sales
1.4×
Price / Book
3.7×
EV / EBITDA
8.7×
Analyst target
$232.00
Target range
$198.00 – $309.00
Implied upside
+6.1%
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Financial health

Gross margin
18.5%
Operating margin
18.2%
Net margin
12.8%
FCF margin
17.5%
Return on equity
34.9%
Debt / equity
0.24
Revenue growth YoY
+7.3%
EPS growth YoY
+5.0%
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Technicals

$189.2052-week range$249.83
RSI (14)
54
50-day MA
$216.73
200-day MA
$210.66
ATR (14)
4.78
Beta
0.26
1-month return
+2.5%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$4.05$5.05-19.7%Miss
2025-12-31$4.67$4.43+5.3%Beat
2026-03-31$4.96$4.88+1.6%Beat
2026-06-30$4.85$4.84+0.3%Beat
Beat 3 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.01%
Dividend yield
0.18%
Beta
0.26
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Latest news on PGR

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Frequently asked

What is PGR's Quant Score?

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 61/100, rated ★★★★ Quality. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is The Progressive Corporation (PGR) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. PGR scores 61/100 (★★★★ Quality) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is PGR's score updated?

PGR's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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