Tickerover
Energy

MPC Stock Analysis

Marathon Petroleum Corporation · current price $368.80 (+1.53% today)

Top-tier setup — 54% revenue growth, +18% 30-day momentum, 3/4 EPS beats. Caveat: trades 12.0% above analyst mean target. Stock is trading above the analyst mean target ($325) — limited consensus headroom.
★★★★★
Top Tier
📊

The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
97
Trending up strong
price trend
Growth
28
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
44
Some weak spots
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
40
Getting pricey
is the price fair?
Sentiment
34
Out of favour
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
76
Low risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

📉

The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
1-month momentum1-month momentum: 9090Relative strengthRelative strength: 100100Trend strengthTrend strength: 100100FundamentalsFundamentals: 6464Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 9292GrowthGrowth: 100100Breakout proximityBreakout proximity: 7676
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 12.8%12.8%OperatingOperating: 13.6%13.6%NetNet: 5.5%5.5%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 8.4%8.4%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: +27.1% vs estimate+27%2026-062026-03: +120.6% vs estimate+121%2026-032025-12: +50.1% vs estimate+50%2025-122025-09: -4.9% vs estimate-5%2025-09
👁

Hype Check

Reading MPC’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

🛡

Dilution Check

Reading MPC’s filings…

📣

Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)

Latest earnings

EPS
$3.01 vs $3.16 est · -4.9% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$51.99B · +49.4% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
+17.8%
Beat streak
3 of last 4 quarters
💰

Valuation

P/E
12.8×
Forward P/E
11.5×
PEG
1.80
Price / Sales
0.7×
Price / Book
5.5×
EV / EBITDA
8.9×
Analyst target
$324.56
Target range
$186.00 – $413.00
Implied upside
-12.0%
🩺

Financial health

Gross margin
12.8%
Operating margin
13.6%
Net margin
5.5%
FCF margin
8.4%
Return on equity
42.1%
Debt / equity
1.33
Revenue growth YoY
+53.7%
EPS growth YoY
+3.5%
📈

Technicals

$161.9352-week range$369.12
RSI (14)
72
50-day MA
$308.35
200-day MA
$237.01
ATR (14)
10.74
Beta
0.51
1-month return
+17.8%
🗓️

Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$3.01$3.16-4.9%Miss
2025-12-31$4.07$2.71+50.1%Beat
2026-03-31$1.65$0.75+120.6%Beat
2026-06-30$17.73$13.95+27.1%Beat
Beat 3 of the last 4 quarters.
🏛️

Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.03%
Dividend yield
1.10%
Beta
0.51
📰

Latest news on MPC

🔗

Similar stocks in Energy

Frequently asked

What is MPC's Quant Score?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 73/100, rated ★★★★★ Top Tier. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. MPC scores 73/100 (★★★★★ Top Tier) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is MPC's score updated?

MPC's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

Get the full live dashboard

Real-time scoring, conflict detection, Reverse DCF and peer comparison — free while in beta.

Open the dashboard for MPC →