Tickerover
Real Estate

BXMT Stock Analysis

Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. · current price $13.72 (-0.65% today)

Risk is rising; momentum is fading or fundamentals are weakening. Multiple risk indicators are firing.
★★
Below Avg
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
30
In a downtrend
price trend
Growth
23
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
78
High quality
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
60
Fairly priced
is the price fair?
Sentiment
43
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
61
Moderate risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
FundamentalsFundamentals: 6262Size fitSize fit: 100100Near 52w highNear 52w high: 8888Analyst consensusAnalyst consensus: 5050Low short interestLow short interest: 100100News sentimentNews sentiment: 9595Relative strengthRelative strength: 4545
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 100.0%100.0%OperatingOperating: -3.7%-3.7%NetNet: 3.8%3.8%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 87.7%87.7%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: -12.2% vs estimate-12%2026-062026-03: -40.3% vs estimate-40%2026-032025-12: -866.7% vs estimate-867%2025-122025-09: -12.5% vs estimate-12%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading BXMT’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading BXMT’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT)

Latest earnings

EPS
$0.24 vs $0.27 est · -12.5% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$158.1M · +19.1% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-8.3%
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Valuation

P/E
171.6×
Forward P/E
8.9×
PEG
-0.25
Price / Sales
5.7×
Price / Book
0.7×
Analyst target
$18.86
Target range
$16.00 – $23.00
Implied upside
+37.4%
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Financial health

Gross margin
100.0%
Operating margin
-3.7%
Net margin
3.8%
FCF margin
87.7%
Return on equity
0.4%
Debt / equity
4.85
Revenue growth YoY
-73.1%
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Technicals

$13.6152-week range$20.67
RSI (14)
29
50-day MA
$15.86
200-day MA
$18.34
ATR (14)
0.33
Beta
0.95
1-month return
-8.3%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$0.24$0.27-12.5%Miss
2025-12-31$-2.07$0.27-866.7%Miss
2026-03-31$0.21$0.35-40.3%Miss
2026-06-30$0.31$0.35-12.2%Miss
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.10%
Dividend yield
13.61%
Beta
0.95
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Latest news on BXMT

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Frequently asked

What is BXMT's Quant Score?

Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 46/100, rated ★★ Below Avg. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. BXMT scores 46/100 (★★ Below Avg) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is BXMT's score updated?

BXMT's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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