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Financial Services

AMSF Stock Analysis

AMERISAFE, Inc. · current price $26.25 (+0.44% today)

Risk is rising; momentum is fading or fundamentals are weakening. Multiple risk indicators are firing.
★★
Below Avg
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
30
In a downtrend
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
55
Solid fundamentals
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
75
Looks cheap
is the price fair?
Sentiment
40
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
57
Moderate risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
FundamentalsFundamentals: 7070Analyst consensusAnalyst consensus: 5050Near 52w highNear 52w high: 8888Earnings accelerationEarnings acceleration: 100100News sentimentNews sentiment: 8282GrowthGrowth: 5050Insider biasInsider bias: 6060
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 27.7%27.7%OperatingOperating: 19.9%19.9%NetNet: 14.0%14.0%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 5.8%5.8%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: -15.9% vs estimate-16%2026-062026-03: -7.4% vs estimate-7%2026-032025-12: -14.3% vs estimate-14%2025-122025-09: -1.8% vs estimate-2%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading AMSF’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading AMSF’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF)

Latest earnings

EPS
$0.55 vs $0.56 est · -1.8% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$92.0M · +12.2% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-10.6%
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Valuation

P/E
10.6×
Forward P/E
13.0×
PEG
1.81
Price / Sales
1.4×
Price / Book
1.9×
EV / EBITDA
6.7×
Analyst target
$35.67
Target range
$32.00 – $42.00
Implied upside
+35.9%
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Financial health

Gross margin
27.7%
Operating margin
19.9%
Net margin
14.0%
FCF margin
5.8%
Return on equity
18.2%
Revenue growth YoY
+13.4%
EPS growth YoY
+6.8%
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Technicals

$25.6552-week range$47.86
RSI (14)
33
50-day MA
$30.66
200-day MA
$34.09
ATR (14)
0.69
Beta
0.28
1-month return
-10.6%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$0.55$0.56-1.8%Miss
2025-12-31$0.51$0.59-14.3%Miss
2026-03-31$0.50$0.54-7.4%Miss
2026-06-30$0.44$0.52-15.9%Miss
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.04%
Dividend yield
6.27%
Beta
0.28
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Latest news on AMSF

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Frequently asked

What is AMSF's Quant Score?

AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 46/100, rated ★★ Below Avg. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. AMSF scores 46/100 (★★ Below Avg) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is AMSF's score updated?

AMSF's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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