Tickerover
Networking & Switch Infrastructure

ADTN Stock Analysis

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. · current price $7.71 (-0.84% today)

Risk is rising; momentum is fading or fundamentals are weakening. Multiple risk indicators are firing.
★★
Below Avg
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The six-pillar scorecard

Momentum
19
In a downtrend
price trend
Growth
25
Barely growing
sales & profit growth
Quality
72
High quality
profitability & balance sheet
Valuation
75
Looks cheap
is the price fair?
Sentiment
45
Mixed views
analyst & crowd mood
Risk
24
High risk
volatility & drawdown

Each pillar is scored 0-100 inside the stock’s own peer group, so a chipmaker is measured against chipmakers. These are quality descriptors, not buy or sell signals.

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The picture

What drove the scoreThe seven components contributing most, each read out of 100.
GrowthGrowth: 5555Near 52w highNear 52w high: 100100Earnings qualityEarnings quality: 9292FundamentalsFundamentals: 7070News sentimentNews sentiment: 8282Analyst consensusAnalyst consensus: 5050Insider biasInsider bias: 100100
Margin profileWhat survives each step down the income statement.
GrossGross: 38.5%38.5%OperatingOperating: -3.5%-3.5%NetNet: -2.3%-2.3%Free cash flowFree cash flow: 2.0%2.0%
EPS surpriseReported EPS against estimate, last four quarters.
2026-06: +14.3% vs estimate+14%2026-062026-03: +50.0% vs estimate+50%2026-032025-12: +95.1% vs estimate+95%2025-122025-09: -19.4% vs estimate-19%2025-09
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Hype Check

Reading ADTN’s price and volume history…

The audit — what has to hold for this thesis

Checking the areas that decide this thesis…

AI-generated from the company’s own filings and recent coverage, and it can be incomplete or wrong. A PASS is a reading of the cited evidence, not a verified fact and not a reason to buy. Follow each citation to the source.

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Dilution Check

Reading ADTN’s filings…

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Latest earnings

LAST EARNINGS ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN)

Latest earnings

EPS
$0.05 vs $0.06 est · -19.4% vs estimate MISS
Revenue
$281.1M · +0.6% YoY
Stock reaction (1M)
-8.3%
Beat streak
3 of last 4 quarters
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Valuation

P/E
13.2×
Forward P/E
13.2×
PEG
1.86
Price / Sales
0.6×
Price / Book
4.8×
EV / EBITDA
11.9×
Analyst target
$14.67
Target range
$11.00 – $21.00
Implied upside
+90.1%
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Financial health

Gross margin
38.5%
Operating margin
-3.5%
Net margin
-2.3%
FCF margin
2.0%
Return on equity
-3.2%
Debt / equity
0.50
Revenue growth YoY
+6.1%
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Technicals

$7.1152-week range$19.98
RSI (14)
34
50-day MA
$10.49
200-day MA
$11.42
ATR (14)
0.38
Beta
1.49
1-month return
-8.3%
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Earnings

QuarterEPSEst.SurpriseResult
2025-09-30$0.05$0.06-19.4%Miss
2025-12-31$0.16$0.08+95.1%Beat
2026-03-31$0.14$0.09+50.0%Beat
2026-06-30$0.04$0.04+14.3%Beat
Beat 3 of the last 4 quarters.
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Ownership & risk

Short % of float
0.16%
Beta
1.49
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Latest news on ADTN

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Frequently asked

What is ADTN's Quant Score?

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) currently has a TickerMover Quant Score of 48/100, rated ★★ Below Avg. The Quant Score is a quantitative composite across six research pillars — momentum, quality, growth, valuation, sentiment and risk. It is research information, not investment advice.

Is ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) a buy?

TickerMover does not give buy or sell recommendations. ADTN scores 48/100 (★★ Below Avg) on our quantitative research model — a screening signal, not a personal recommendation. Do your own research, and consider an FCA-authorised adviser before investing.

How often is ADTN's score updated?

ADTN's Quant Score and underlying data refresh through US market hours (about every five minutes), using public market and fundamental data.

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